Coach Kyle

The Unthinkable Is About To Happen To This Stock!

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Short-term price action does not change that . A s tock can fall sharply when the market decides to pay a lower multiple, even while the underlying…

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Palantir: Operating Evidence and Research Questions — original newsletter cover
Original artwork published with this archived edition.

Short-term price action does not change that. A stock can fall sharply when the market decides to pay a lower multiple, even while the underlying company keeps improving. That is what multiple compression looks like, and it has hit richly valued software across the market in 2026. In that environment, Palantir’s selloff says more about mood and positioning than it does about the strength of the company itself.

For investors willing to think in five- and ten-year windows, that is the real story. The vote of the market today can be wrong for long stretches. The weight of the business tends to matter more over time.

Original illustration from this archived newsletter

The G.L.A. INVE$T “GAUNTLET SCORING SYSTEM

Original illustration from this archived newsletter

The G.L.A. GAUNTLET Proprietary Scoring System is designed to identify businesses with the best risk-versus-reward and exponential growth potential for the next five and ten years. Based on the available evidence, PLTR scores exceptionally well across the framework.

Rule

G.L.A. Gauntlet test

PLTR assessment

Rule

G.L.A. Gauntlet test

PLTR assessment

1

Large enough and developed enough to predict

Pass. Palantir is well above the minimum size threshold, with quarterly revenue of $1.633 billion and full-year 2026 guidance around $7.65 billion.

2

Visionary founder-led innovation

Pass. Alex Karp remains one of the most distinctive founder-CEOs in software, and Palantir continues to attract mission-driven technical talent around difficult real-world problems.

3

Must-have products and services

Pass. Palantir’s software is built for institutions that need mission-critical decisioning, governance, and operational execution.

4

Early hypergrowth with fortress balance sheet and cash flow

Strong pass. Revenue grew 85% year over year, U.S. commercial grew 133%, and the company ended the quarter with about $8 billion in cash and no debt.

5

Huge TAM and customer potential

Pass. The addressable market spans government, defense, healthcare, manufacturing, logistics, banking, and enterprise AI deployment more broadly.1

6

Impenetrable competitive moats

Pass. The ontology, data integration, permissions, governance, and years of embedded institutional relationships create a moat that is difficult for raw model providers to replicate quickly.

7

Best risk vs reward profile

Pass with volatility. The stock remains volatile, but the operating performance and cash position improve the long-duration risk/reward setup. VOLATILITY IS VITALITY

8

Solving major societal problems

Pass. Palantir is deployed in defense, public sector, healthcare, and complex enterprise systems where software can materially improve real-world outcomes.d

9

Wall Street does not fully understand it

Pass. Palantir remains one of the most misunderstood names in the market, with the gap between business performance and stock performance making that especially visible in 2026.

10

Proven investors behind it

Pass. Palantir has longstanding ties to notable technology investors including Peter Thiel, and it remains closely followed by high-conviction growth investors,ARK INVEST and Cathie Wood has been buying more throughout this dip.

Final Score

PLTR Aced all 10 major G.L.A. Gauntlet tests, with strongest marks in scale, founder quality, mission criticality, hyper growth, balance sheet strength, and long-duration AI infrastructure relevance. The main caution is valuation volatility, which can remain painful in the short run even if the business keeps compounding in the right direction.

Under the G.L.A. framework, Palantir fits the profile of a top-tier generational compounder candidate rather than a short-term trade. That is why our current view remains extremely bullish: the market may still be debating the stock, but the business is increasingly behaving like essential infrastructure for the AI age.

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Coach KYLE’s 2 CENTS: PALANTIR, just like TESLA, and SPACEX are one of a kind companies lead by one of a kind founders, in the beginning of the largest innovation boom in history, in ten years we will look back at this time frame either with regret, because we didn’t buy more, or we will look back at this time frame as one of the best decisions we’ve ever made!

Original illustration from this archived newsletter

BUY and HODL